![]() – AT 312 PM MDT, DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED HEAVY RAIN DUE TO THUNDERSTORMS. * IMPACTS…MINOR FLOODING IN LOW-LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. * WHERE…A PORTION OF SOUTHWEST COLORADO, INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING COUNTY, MONTEZUMA. * WHAT…FLOODING CAUSED BY EXCESSIVE RAINFALL IS EXPECTED. FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 515 PM MDT THIS AFTERNOON One storm west of Stoner has just triggered a Flood Advisory. A few moderate thunderstorms have broken out in the western and northern portions of the forecast area. The latest models still show an uptick in moisture this afternoon and evening. Very little has changed since this morning. The storm will likely track through Georgia to the South Carolina Coast and may gain some strength heading through portions of Coastal South and North Carolina. That being said, a tremendous amount of rain could fall on the eastern side of the storm bringing heavy rain from Tampa north. There is a high degree of likelihood she will hit the sparsely populated Big Bend area on the northern Gulf Coast of Florida on Wednesday, north of Cedar Key. I am also tracking what will become tropical storm Idalia. I will be tracking this all week but as of right now, Labor Day Weekend looks wet. The pattern should begin to transition back to wet by Friday and by Saturday and Sunday wide spread showers will return as subtropical moisture moves back into the area. On Monday it will start to dry out but isolated showers will be possible in the higher elevations and along the divide. Tuesday and Wednesday should be mostly dry then on Thursday very isolated showers will be possible in the afternoon. For today, expect isolated to scattered afternoon showers to redevelop, favoring the northern 2/3 of the forecast area (everywhere along and north of the HWY 160 corridor). We have had some impressive rain totals the last couple of days throughout the forecast area. Thanks for following and supporting the site! Click here to donate If you prefer to donate with Venmo: Click here to submit a weather report or question ![]() It would not surprise me if that was delayed. At the moment the main force of the hurricane is forecast to come on shore between 2 am and 8 am tomorrow. Tornadoes will also be possible in the area. ![]() The hurricane will weaken substantially as it comes on land but Tallahassee may experience category-one winds. This is a very lightly populated area along the Apalachee Bay. ![]() But the most dangerous portion of the storm is now set to hit south of Tallahassee between St. Effects will be felt throughout the Gulf Coast. Speaking of model changes, the Euro has also shifted the track of Hurricane Idalia much further west to the eastern Panhandle area. This forecast is not yet settled so stay tuned for and expect updates as the week goes on. The Euro model’s latest run is now only showing light scattered afternoon showers focusing primarily on the northern portions of the forecast area Friday, Saturday, and Sunday afternoons. Those of you hoping for a mostly dry forecast for Labor Day weekend here may get your wish. ![]()
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